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Steven Pelayo's avatar

Danny, some random stream of conscious thoughts...  

1.) We all understand the nuance required to understand the complexity of homelessness in COPA, ranging from seniors to young adults leaving foster care. We all understand that not everyone who is homeless is a drug addict, and that deserves recognition. 

HOWEVER, it’s also clear that addiction, especially to fentanyl, is central to much of the crisis. Even Chief Smith acknowledges that "100% of property crime" is linked to substance use. Wow! Mind blown. That is a stunning admission, so it bothered me when your article immediately softened it by stressing "not all unhoused are criminals". Of course not. We know that, but it misses the point. If nearly all property crime stems from drug use, then the logical conclusion is that drug addiction, and perhaps not housing, is the most urgent public-safety issue. Yet the article pivots right back to a “public misunderstanding” and “the need for compassion.”

This is where I become more critical. I have been on a ride-along with our already overworked police officers and have seen and heard first hand how much time is spent on repeat offenders and drug users. I could go on and on about society's loss of a moral compass, but I digress. My point is that your article touches on that reality, but quickly pivots to systemic gaps and underfunded services, rather than confronting how drug use drives much of the public disorder residents and businesses "experience" (or rather, are forced to accept?).

2.) I agree that compassion is essential. I am all for hand ups, not hand outs. My point is that we can not absolve personal responsibility. Without accountability it becomes enabling. Many housing first programs across the country, from Seattle and San Francisco to Portland and Los Angeles, have poured BILLIONS into low-barrier housing and free services with few requirements for sobriety or participation in treatment. The results have been beyond disappointing: overdoses continue and the number of chronically homeless individuals in those cities has barely improved despite massive spending. In San Francisco, I read somewhere that more than half of all permanent supportive housing tenants relapse or continue using, and I have seen first hand the open-air drug markets that operate just blocks away from taxpayer-funded housing projects.

3.) Given I am a data nerd focused on quantifiable outcomes, here is the crux of it all. Many of these programs often measure success by the number of units built or the number of people temporarily housed, not by how many actually recover or maintain stability. By providing unconditional shelter and resources, the system can unintentionally remove the incentives needed for change. Meanwhile, we never see improvement! We lose faith in the effectiveness of the police and the government. We already know we can't trust the crime stats because so much is unaddressed, unreported, and unprosecuted. Encampments cycle back as fast as they’re cleared. The futility of it all is why Joe and 4PA impress me with their doggedness. He is a modern society's version of Sisyphus. 

4.) I started my thoughts arguing that the debate is nuanced. There definitely is not one service or solution that fits every situation. At least for me, it "mostly" feels more like a cycle of management, not resolution. I worry if we continue to fund compassion over requirement for real transformation, we will keep seeing the same cycle of addiction, crime, and despair, no matter how much empathy or money we pour into the system.

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